pacman::p_load(olsrr, corrplot, ggpubr, sf, spdep, GWmodel, tmap, tidyverse, gtsummary)Hands-on Exercise 8
Description
Learning to build hedonic pricing models by using GWR methods in R.
Changelog
23 Oct 24: Completed Hands-on Exercise 8.
Importing Data and setting up R Environment
First I will load the relevant packages needed.
Now I will import the geospatial data.
mpsz = st_read(dsn = "data/geospatial", layer = "MP14_SUBZONE_WEB_PL")Reading layer `MP14_SUBZONE_WEB_PL' from data source
`D:\0SMU\IS415-GAA\Hands-on_Ex\Hands-on_Ex08\data\geospatial'
using driver `ESRI Shapefile'
Simple feature collection with 323 features and 15 fields
Geometry type: MULTIPOLYGON
Dimension: XY
Bounding box: xmin: 2667.538 ymin: 15748.72 xmax: 56396.44 ymax: 50256.33
Projected CRS: SVY21st_crs(mpsz)Coordinate Reference System:
User input: SVY21
wkt:
PROJCRS["SVY21",
BASEGEOGCRS["SVY21[WGS84]",
DATUM["World Geodetic System 1984",
ELLIPSOID["WGS 84",6378137,298.257223563,
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1]],
ID["EPSG",6326]],
PRIMEM["Greenwich",0,
ANGLEUNIT["Degree",0.0174532925199433]]],
CONVERSION["unnamed",
METHOD["Transverse Mercator",
ID["EPSG",9807]],
PARAMETER["Latitude of natural origin",1.36666666666667,
ANGLEUNIT["Degree",0.0174532925199433],
ID["EPSG",8801]],
PARAMETER["Longitude of natural origin",103.833333333333,
ANGLEUNIT["Degree",0.0174532925199433],
ID["EPSG",8802]],
PARAMETER["Scale factor at natural origin",1,
SCALEUNIT["unity",1],
ID["EPSG",8805]],
PARAMETER["False easting",28001.642,
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1],
ID["EPSG",8806]],
PARAMETER["False northing",38744.572,
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1],
ID["EPSG",8807]]],
CS[Cartesian,2],
AXIS["(E)",east,
ORDER[1],
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1,
ID["EPSG",9001]]],
AXIS["(N)",north,
ORDER[2],
LENGTHUNIT["metre",1,
ID["EPSG",9001]]]]The CRS is using the wrong EPSG code. SVY21 EPSG is 3414.
mpsz_svy21 = st_transform(mpsz, 3414)Now I will import the aspatial data.
condo_resale = read_csv("data/aspatial/Condo_resale_2015.csv")Rows: 1436 Columns: 23
── Column specification ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Delimiter: ","
dbl (23): LATITUDE, LONGITUDE, POSTCODE, SELLING_PRICE, AREA_SQM, AGE, PROX_...
ℹ Use `spec()` to retrieve the full column specification for this data.
ℹ Specify the column types or set `show_col_types = FALSE` to quiet this message.glimpse(condo_resale)Rows: 1,436
Columns: 23
$ LATITUDE <dbl> 1.287145, 1.328698, 1.313727, 1.308563, 1.321437,…
$ LONGITUDE <dbl> 103.7802, 103.8123, 103.7971, 103.8247, 103.9505,…
$ POSTCODE <dbl> 118635, 288420, 267833, 258380, 467169, 466472, 3…
$ SELLING_PRICE <dbl> 3000000, 3880000, 3325000, 4250000, 1400000, 1320…
$ AREA_SQM <dbl> 309, 290, 248, 127, 145, 139, 218, 141, 165, 168,…
$ AGE <dbl> 30, 32, 33, 7, 28, 22, 24, 24, 27, 31, 17, 22, 6,…
$ PROX_CBD <dbl> 7.941259, 6.609797, 6.898000, 4.038861, 11.783402…
$ PROX_CHILDCARE <dbl> 0.16597932, 0.28027246, 0.42922669, 0.39473543, 0…
$ PROX_ELDERLYCARE <dbl> 2.5198118, 1.9333338, 0.5021395, 1.9910316, 1.121…
$ PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA <dbl> 6.618741, 7.505109, 6.463887, 4.906512, 6.410632,…
$ PROX_HAWKER_MARKET <dbl> 1.76542207, 0.54507614, 0.37789301, 1.68259969, 0…
$ PROX_KINDERGARTEN <dbl> 0.05835552, 0.61592412, 0.14120309, 0.38200076, 0…
$ PROX_MRT <dbl> 0.5607188, 0.6584461, 0.3053433, 0.6910183, 0.528…
$ PROX_PARK <dbl> 1.1710446, 0.1992269, 0.2779886, 0.9832843, 0.116…
$ PROX_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl> 1.6340256, 0.9747834, 1.4715016, 1.4546324, 0.709…
$ PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl> 3.3273195, 0.9747834, 1.4715016, 2.3006394, 0.709…
$ PROX_SHOPPING_MALL <dbl> 2.2102717, 2.9374279, 1.2256850, 0.3525671, 1.307…
$ PROX_SUPERMARKET <dbl> 0.9103958, 0.5900617, 0.4135583, 0.4162219, 0.581…
$ PROX_BUS_STOP <dbl> 0.10336166, 0.28673408, 0.28504777, 0.29872340, 0…
$ NO_Of_UNITS <dbl> 18, 20, 27, 30, 30, 31, 32, 32, 32, 32, 34, 34, 3…
$ FAMILY_FRIENDLY <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
$ FREEHOLD <dbl> 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1…
$ LEASEHOLD_99YR <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…Now we convert the aspatial data into an sf object.
condo_resale.sf = st_as_sf(condo_resale,
coords = c("LONGITUDE", "LATITUDE"),
crs=4326) %>%
st_transform(crs = 3414)
head(condo_resale.sf)Simple feature collection with 6 features and 21 fields
Geometry type: POINT
Dimension: XY
Bounding box: xmin: 22085.12 ymin: 29951.54 xmax: 41042.56 ymax: 34546.2
Projected CRS: SVY21 / Singapore TM
# A tibble: 6 × 22
POSTCODE SELLING_PRICE AREA_SQM AGE PROX_CBD PROX_CHILDCARE PROX_ELDERLYCARE
<dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
1 118635 3000000 309 30 7.94 0.166 2.52
2 288420 3880000 290 32 6.61 0.280 1.93
3 267833 3325000 248 33 6.90 0.429 0.502
4 258380 4250000 127 7 4.04 0.395 1.99
5 467169 1400000 145 28 11.8 0.119 1.12
6 466472 1320000 139 22 10.3 0.125 0.789
# ℹ 15 more variables: PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA <dbl>, PROX_HAWKER_MARKET <dbl>,
# PROX_KINDERGARTEN <dbl>, PROX_MRT <dbl>, PROX_PARK <dbl>,
# PROX_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl>, PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH <dbl>,
# PROX_SHOPPING_MALL <dbl>, PROX_SUPERMARKET <dbl>, PROX_BUS_STOP <dbl>,
# NO_Of_UNITS <dbl>, FAMILY_FRIENDLY <dbl>, FREEHOLD <dbl>,
# LEASEHOLD_99YR <dbl>, geometry <POINT [m]>Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
Plotting the distribution of SELLING_PRICE using EDA.
ggplot(data = condo_resale.sf, aes(x = `SELLING_PRICE`))+
geom_histogram(bins = 20, color = "black", fill = "orange")
The figure shows a right-skewed distribution, suggesting that more units were sold at lower prices. We can normalise this distribution using log transformation.
condo_resale.sf = condo_resale.sf %>%
mutate(`LOG_SELLING_PRICE` = log(SELLING_PRICE))
ggplot(data = condo_resale.sf, aes(x = `LOG_SELLING_PRICE`))+
geom_histogram(bins = 20, color = "black", fill = "orange")
Now lets plot a histogram of different variables.
AREA_SQM = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `AREA_SQM`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
AGE = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `AGE`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_CBD = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_CBD`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_CHILDCARE = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_CHILDCARE`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_ELDERLYCARE = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_ELDERLYCARE`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf,
aes(x= `PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_HAWKER_MARKET = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_HAWKER_MARKET`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_KINDERGARTEN = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_KINDERGARTEN`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_MRT = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_MRT`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_PARK = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_PARK`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf, aes(x= `PROX_PRIMARY_SCH`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH = ggplot(data=condo_resale.sf,
aes(x= `PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH`)) +
geom_histogram(bins=20, color="black", fill="orange")
ggarrange(AREA_SQM, AGE, PROX_CBD, PROX_CHILDCARE, PROX_ELDERLYCARE,
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA, PROX_HAWKER_MARKET, PROX_KINDERGARTEN, PROX_MRT,
PROX_PARK, PROX_PRIMARY_SCH, PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH,
ncol = 3, nrow = 4)
Now we can draw a statistical point map to see the distribution of condo resale prices in Singapore.
tmap_mode("view")tmap mode set to interactive viewingtm_shape(mpsz_svy21) +
#mpsz cant plot onto view mode due to incorrect polygons, check.and.fix to solve issue
tmap_options(check.and.fix = TRUE) +
tm_polygons() +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf)+
tm_dots(col = "SELLING_PRICE", alpha = 0.6, style = "quantile")+
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_validtmap_mode("plot")tmap mode set to plottingHedonic Pricing Modelling
Now I will build hedonic pricing models for condo resale units using lm().
Simple Linear Regression Method
First, we will build a simple linear regression model with SELLING_PRICE as the dependent variable and AREA_SQM as the independent variable. Then a summary can be printed with summary() or anova().
condo.slr = lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM, data = condo_resale.sf)
anova(condo.slr)Analysis of Variance Table
Response: SELLING_PRICE
Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
AREA_SQM 1 1.0504e+15 1.0504e+15 1182 < 2.2e-16 ***
Residuals 1434 1.2743e+15 8.8861e+11
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1summary(condo.slr)
Call:
lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM, data = condo_resale.sf)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3695815 -391764 -87517 258900 13503875
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -258121.1 63517.2 -4.064 5.09e-05 ***
AREA_SQM 14719.0 428.1 34.381 < 2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 942700 on 1434 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.4518, Adjusted R-squared: 0.4515
F-statistic: 1182 on 1 and 1434 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16Through the summary() output, we can reveal the formula of SELLING_PRICE to be:
y = -258121.1 + 14719xSince the p-value is < 0.05, we can reject the null hypothesis that mean is a good estimator of SELLING_PRICE, and instead that the simple linear regression model is a better estimator. We can visualise the best fit curve on a scatterplot.
ggplot(data = condo_resale.sf,
aes(x=`AREA_SQM`, y=`SELLING_PRICE`))+
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = lm) #indicates lm as the method`geom_smooth()` using formula = 'y ~ x'
We can spot some outliers in with higher selling prices.
Multiple Linear Regression Method
First, we must ensure that independent variables are not highly correlated. We can do this through a correlation matrix. We can do this using pairs() or corrplot().
corrplot(cor(condo_resale[,5:23]), diag = FALSE, order = "AOE", method = "number",
tl.cex = 0.7)
We do see that FREEHOLD and LEASEHOLD_99YEAR are highly correlated. We should include only 1 of the two in our subsequent model building. We shall exclude LEASEHOLD_99YEAR
Hedonic Pricing Model using Multiple Linear Regression Method
Now we can use lm() again, but include all other independent variables.
condo.mlr = lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD
+ PROX_CHILDCARE+ PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA
+ PROX_HAWKER_MARKET + PROX_KINDERGARTEN + PROX_MRT
+ PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH
+ PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_SUPERMARKET + PROX_BUS_STOP
+ NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sf)
summary(condo.mlr)
Call:
lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD + PROX_CHILDCARE +
PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_HAWKER_MARKET +
PROX_KINDERGARTEN + PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH +
PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_SUPERMARKET +
PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sf)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3475964 -293923 -23069 241043 12260381
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 481728.40 121441.01 3.967 7.65e-05 ***
AREA_SQM 12708.32 369.59 34.385 < 2e-16 ***
AGE -24440.82 2763.16 -8.845 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CBD -78669.78 6768.97 -11.622 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CHILDCARE -351617.91 109467.25 -3.212 0.00135 **
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 171029.42 42110.51 4.061 5.14e-05 ***
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 38474.53 12523.57 3.072 0.00217 **
PROX_HAWKER_MARKET 23746.10 29299.76 0.810 0.41782
PROX_KINDERGARTEN 147468.99 82668.87 1.784 0.07466 .
PROX_MRT -314599.68 57947.44 -5.429 6.66e-08 ***
PROX_PARK 563280.50 66551.68 8.464 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 180186.08 65237.95 2.762 0.00582 **
PROX_TOP_PRIMARY_SCH 2280.04 20410.43 0.112 0.91107
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -206604.06 42840.60 -4.823 1.57e-06 ***
PROX_SUPERMARKET -44991.80 77082.64 -0.584 0.55953
PROX_BUS_STOP 683121.35 138353.28 4.938 8.85e-07 ***
NO_Of_UNITS -231.18 89.03 -2.597 0.00951 **
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 140340.77 47020.55 2.985 0.00289 **
FREEHOLD 359913.01 49220.22 7.312 4.38e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 755800 on 1417 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.6518, Adjusted R-squared: 0.6474
F-statistic: 147.4 on 18 and 1417 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16One thing to note here is that not all p-values of every variable is <0.05. We should revise this and remove the non-significant variables.
condo.mlr1 = lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD
+ PROX_CHILDCARE+ PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA
+ PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH
+ PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS
+ FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sf)
summary(condo.mlr1)
Call:
lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD + PROX_CHILDCARE +
PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK +
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS +
FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD, data = condo_resale.sf)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3470778 -298119 -23481 248917 12234210
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 527633.22 108183.22 4.877 1.20e-06 ***
AREA_SQM 12777.52 367.48 34.771 < 2e-16 ***
AGE -24687.74 2754.84 -8.962 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CBD -77131.32 5763.12 -13.384 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CHILDCARE -318472.75 107959.51 -2.950 0.003231 **
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 185575.62 39901.86 4.651 3.61e-06 ***
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 39163.25 11754.83 3.332 0.000885 ***
PROX_MRT -294745.11 56916.37 -5.179 2.56e-07 ***
PROX_PARK 570504.81 65507.03 8.709 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 159856.14 60234.60 2.654 0.008046 **
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -220947.25 36561.83 -6.043 1.93e-09 ***
PROX_BUS_STOP 682482.22 134513.24 5.074 4.42e-07 ***
NO_Of_UNITS -245.48 87.95 -2.791 0.005321 **
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 146307.58 46893.02 3.120 0.001845 **
FREEHOLD 350599.81 48506.48 7.228 7.98e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 756000 on 1421 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.6507, Adjusted R-squared: 0.6472
F-statistic: 189.1 on 14 and 1421 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16Preparing Publication Quality Table: oslrr method
Now we can calibrate the revised model using ols_regress().
ols_regress(condo.mlr1) Model Summary
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
R 0.807 RMSE 751998.679
R-Squared 0.651 MSE 571471422208.591
Adj. R-Squared 0.647 Coef. Var 43.168
Pred R-Squared 0.638 AIC 42966.758
MAE 414819.628 SBC 43051.072
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
RMSE: Root Mean Square Error
MSE: Mean Square Error
MAE: Mean Absolute Error
AIC: Akaike Information Criteria
SBC: Schwarz Bayesian Criteria
ANOVA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sum of
Squares DF Mean Square F Sig.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Regression 1.512586e+15 14 1.080418e+14 189.059 0.0000
Residual 8.120609e+14 1421 571471422208.591
Total 2.324647e+15 1435
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Parameter Estimates
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
model Beta Std. Error Std. Beta t Sig lower upper
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Intercept) 527633.222 108183.223 4.877 0.000 315417.244 739849.200
AREA_SQM 12777.523 367.479 0.584 34.771 0.000 12056.663 13498.382
AGE -24687.739 2754.845 -0.167 -8.962 0.000 -30091.739 -19283.740
PROX_CBD -77131.323 5763.125 -0.263 -13.384 0.000 -88436.469 -65826.176
PROX_CHILDCARE -318472.751 107959.512 -0.084 -2.950 0.003 -530249.889 -106695.613
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 185575.623 39901.864 0.090 4.651 0.000 107302.737 263848.510
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 39163.254 11754.829 0.060 3.332 0.001 16104.571 62221.936
PROX_MRT -294745.107 56916.367 -0.112 -5.179 0.000 -406394.234 -183095.980
PROX_PARK 570504.807 65507.029 0.150 8.709 0.000 442003.938 699005.677
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 159856.136 60234.599 0.062 2.654 0.008 41697.849 278014.424
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -220947.251 36561.832 -0.115 -6.043 0.000 -292668.213 -149226.288
PROX_BUS_STOP 682482.221 134513.243 0.134 5.074 0.000 418616.359 946348.082
NO_Of_UNITS -245.480 87.947 -0.053 -2.791 0.005 -418.000 -72.961
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 146307.576 46893.021 0.057 3.120 0.002 54320.593 238294.560
FREEHOLD 350599.812 48506.485 0.136 7.228 0.000 255447.802 445751.821
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Preparing Publication Quality Table: gtsummary method
We can also present it using tbl_regression() from gtsummary.
tbl_regression(condo.mlr1, intercept = TRUE)| Characteristic | Beta | 95% CI1 | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 527,633 | 315,417, 739,849 | <0.001 |
| AREA_SQM | 12,778 | 12,057, 13,498 | <0.001 |
| AGE | -24,688 | -30,092, -19,284 | <0.001 |
| PROX_CBD | -77,131 | -88,436, -65,826 | <0.001 |
| PROX_CHILDCARE | -318,473 | -530,250, -106,696 | 0.003 |
| PROX_ELDERLYCARE | 185,576 | 107,303, 263,849 | <0.001 |
| PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA | 39,163 | 16,105, 62,222 | <0.001 |
| PROX_MRT | -294,745 | -406,394, -183,096 | <0.001 |
| PROX_PARK | 570,505 | 442,004, 699,006 | <0.001 |
| PROX_PRIMARY_SCH | 159,856 | 41,698, 278,014 | 0.008 |
| PROX_SHOPPING_MALL | -220,947 | -292,668, -149,226 | <0.001 |
| PROX_BUS_STOP | 682,482 | 418,616, 946,348 | <0.001 |
| NO_Of_UNITS | -245 | -418, -73 | 0.005 |
| FAMILY_FRIENDLY | 146,308 | 54,321, 238,295 | 0.002 |
| FREEHOLD | 350,600 | 255,448, 445,752 | <0.001 |
| 1 CI = Confidence Interval | |||
We can add the model statistics using either add_glance_table() or add_glance_source_note().
tbl_regression(condo.mlr1, intercept = TRUE) %>%
add_glance_source_note(label = list(sigma ~ "\U03C3"),
include = c(r.squared, adj.r.squared,
AIC, statistic, p.value, sigma))| Characteristic | Beta | 95% CI1 | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 527,633 | 315,417, 739,849 | <0.001 |
| AREA_SQM | 12,778 | 12,057, 13,498 | <0.001 |
| AGE | -24,688 | -30,092, -19,284 | <0.001 |
| PROX_CBD | -77,131 | -88,436, -65,826 | <0.001 |
| PROX_CHILDCARE | -318,473 | -530,250, -106,696 | 0.003 |
| PROX_ELDERLYCARE | 185,576 | 107,303, 263,849 | <0.001 |
| PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA | 39,163 | 16,105, 62,222 | <0.001 |
| PROX_MRT | -294,745 | -406,394, -183,096 | <0.001 |
| PROX_PARK | 570,505 | 442,004, 699,006 | <0.001 |
| PROX_PRIMARY_SCH | 159,856 | 41,698, 278,014 | 0.008 |
| PROX_SHOPPING_MALL | -220,947 | -292,668, -149,226 | <0.001 |
| PROX_BUS_STOP | 682,482 | 418,616, 946,348 | <0.001 |
| NO_Of_UNITS | -245 | -418, -73 | 0.005 |
| FAMILY_FRIENDLY | 146,308 | 54,321, 238,295 | 0.002 |
| FREEHOLD | 350,600 | 255,448, 445,752 | <0.001 |
| R² = 0.651; Adjusted R² = 0.647; AIC = 42,967; Statistic = 189; p-value = <0.001; σ = 755,957 | |||
| 1 CI = Confidence Interval | |||
Now I will test for multicolinearity using ols_vif_tol()
ols_vif_tol(condo.mlr1) Variables Tolerance VIF
1 AREA_SQM 0.8728554 1.145665
2 AGE 0.7071275 1.414172
3 PROX_CBD 0.6356147 1.573280
4 PROX_CHILDCARE 0.3066019 3.261559
5 PROX_ELDERLYCARE 0.6598479 1.515501
6 PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 0.7510311 1.331503
7 PROX_MRT 0.5236090 1.909822
8 PROX_PARK 0.8279261 1.207837
9 PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 0.4524628 2.210126
10 PROX_SHOPPING_MALL 0.6738795 1.483945
11 PROX_BUS_STOP 0.3514118 2.845664
12 NO_Of_UNITS 0.6901036 1.449058
13 FAMILY_FRIENDLY 0.7244157 1.380423
14 FREEHOLD 0.6931163 1.442759As all VIF values are below 10, we can conclude that there are no signs of multicollinearity. Now we can test for Non-linearity
ols_plot_resid_fit(condo.mlr1)
As most of the data points are scattered along the 0 line, we can conclude the relationship between dependent and independent variables are linear. Now we can perform normality assumption test.
ols_plot_resid_hist(condo.mlr1)
We can see that our regression model resembles a normal distribution. We can re-verify this with a statistical test method.
ols_test_normality(condo.mlr1)Warning in ks.test.default(y, "pnorm", mean(y), sd(y)): ties should not be
present for the one-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test-----------------------------------------------
Test Statistic pvalue
-----------------------------------------------
Shapiro-Wilk 0.6856 0.0000
Kolmogorov-Smirnov 0.1366 0.0000
Cramer-von Mises 121.0768 0.0000
Anderson-Darling 67.9551 0.0000
-----------------------------------------------Now we can test for spatial autocorrelation.
#Combine residuals into original sf
condo_resale.res.sf = cbind(condo_resale.sf, condo.mlr1$residuals) %>%
rename(`MLR_RES` = `condo.mlr1.residuals`)
#Convert into sp object as spdep needs sp objects
condo_resale.sp = as_Spatial(condo_resale.res.sf)We can view the residuals on the interactive map.
tmap_mode("view")tmap mode set to interactive viewingtm_shape(mpsz_svy21) +
tmap_options(check.and.fix = TRUE) +
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.5) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.res.sf) +
tm_dots(col = "MLR_RES", alpha = 0.6, style = "quantile") +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_validVariable(s) "MLR_RES" contains positive and negative values, so midpoint is set to 0. Set midpoint = NA to show the full spectrum of the color palette.tmap_mode("plot")tmap mode set to plottingWe cab see that there is some spatial autocorrelation, as we do see some potential clustering. We can verify this using a Moran’s I test.
nb = dnearneigh(coordinates(condo_resale.sp), 0, 1500, longlat = FALSE)Warning in dnearneigh(coordinates(condo_resale.sp), 0, 1500, longlat = FALSE):
neighbour object has 10 sub-graphssummary(nb)Neighbour list object:
Number of regions: 1436
Number of nonzero links: 66266
Percentage nonzero weights: 3.213526
Average number of links: 46.14624
10 disjoint connected subgraphs
Link number distribution:
1 3 5 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
3 3 9 4 3 15 10 19 17 45 19 5 14 29 19 6 35 45 18 47
25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
16 43 22 26 21 11 9 23 22 13 16 25 21 37 16 18 8 21 4 12
45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64
8 36 18 14 14 43 11 12 8 13 12 13 4 5 6 12 11 20 29 33
65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84
15 20 10 14 15 15 11 16 12 10 8 19 12 14 9 8 4 13 11 6
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104
4 9 4 4 4 6 2 16 9 4 5 9 3 9 4 2 1 2 1 1
105 106 107 108 109 110 112 116 125
1 5 9 2 1 3 1 1 1
3 least connected regions:
193 194 277 with 1 link
1 most connected region:
285 with 125 linksnb_lw = nb2listw(nb, style = 'W')
summary(nb_lw)Characteristics of weights list object:
Neighbour list object:
Number of regions: 1436
Number of nonzero links: 66266
Percentage nonzero weights: 3.213526
Average number of links: 46.14624
10 disjoint connected subgraphs
Link number distribution:
1 3 5 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
3 3 9 4 3 15 10 19 17 45 19 5 14 29 19 6 35 45 18 47
25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
16 43 22 26 21 11 9 23 22 13 16 25 21 37 16 18 8 21 4 12
45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64
8 36 18 14 14 43 11 12 8 13 12 13 4 5 6 12 11 20 29 33
65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84
15 20 10 14 15 15 11 16 12 10 8 19 12 14 9 8 4 13 11 6
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104
4 9 4 4 4 6 2 16 9 4 5 9 3 9 4 2 1 2 1 1
105 106 107 108 109 110 112 116 125
1 5 9 2 1 3 1 1 1
3 least connected regions:
193 194 277 with 1 link
1 most connected region:
285 with 125 links
Weights style: W
Weights constants summary:
n nn S0 S1 S2
W 1436 2062096 1436 94.81916 5798.341lm.morantest(condo.mlr1, nb_lw)
Global Moran I for regression residuals
data:
model: lm(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_MRT +
PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP +
NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD, data = condo_resale.sf)
weights: nb_lw
Moran I statistic standard deviate = 24.366, p-value < 2.2e-16
alternative hypothesis: greater
sample estimates:
Observed Moran I Expectation Variance
1.438876e-01 -5.487594e-03 3.758259e-05 We can see the p-value is <0.05, as such we can reject the null hypothesis of random distribution. With the observed Moran I being greater than 0, we can infer a slight cluster distribution.
Building Hedonic Pricing Models using GWmodel
Fixed Bandwidth
We can use bw.gwr() to determine the optimal fixed bandwidth.
bw.fixed = bw.gwr(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH +
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS +
FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sp,
approach = "CV",
kernel = "gaussian",
adaptive = FALSE,
longlat = FALSE)Fixed bandwidth: 17660.96 CV score: 8.259118e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 10917.26 CV score: 7.970454e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 6749.419 CV score: 7.273273e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 4173.553 CV score: 6.300006e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 2581.58 CV score: 5.404958e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 1597.687 CV score: 4.857515e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 989.6077 CV score: 4.722431e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 613.7939 CV score: 1.378294e+16
Fixed bandwidth: 1221.873 CV score: 4.778717e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 846.0596 CV score: 4.791629e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 1078.325 CV score: 4.751406e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 934.7772 CV score: 4.72518e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 1023.495 CV score: 4.730305e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 968.6643 CV score: 4.721317e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 955.7206 CV score: 4.722072e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 976.6639 CV score: 4.721387e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 963.7202 CV score: 4.721484e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.7199 CV score: 4.721293e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 973.6083 CV score: 4.721309e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 970.5527 CV score: 4.721295e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 972.4412 CV score: 4.721296e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.2741 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 970.9985 CV score: 4.721293e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.4443 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.5496 CV score: 4.721293e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3793 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3391 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3143 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3545 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3296 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.345 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3355 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3413 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3377 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.34 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3405 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3408 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3403 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3406 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3404 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3405 CV score: 4.721292e+14
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3405 CV score: 4.721292e+14 The results shows the recommended bandwidth to be 971.3405 metres. Now we can calibrate the gwr model.
gwr.fixed = gwr.basic(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH +
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS +
FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sp,
bw = bw.fixed,
kernel = 'gaussian',
longlat = FALSE)
gwr.fixed ***********************************************************************
* Package GWmodel *
***********************************************************************
Program starts at: 2024-10-23 17:53:42.920064
Call:
gwr.basic(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL +
PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sp, bw = bw.fixed, kernel = "gaussian",
longlat = FALSE)
Dependent (y) variable: SELLING_PRICE
Independent variables: AREA_SQM AGE PROX_CBD PROX_CHILDCARE PROX_ELDERLYCARE PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA PROX_MRT PROX_PARK PROX_PRIMARY_SCH PROX_SHOPPING_MALL PROX_BUS_STOP NO_Of_UNITS FAMILY_FRIENDLY FREEHOLD
Number of data points: 1436
***********************************************************************
* Results of Global Regression *
***********************************************************************
Call:
lm(formula = formula, data = data)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3470778 -298119 -23481 248917 12234210
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 527633.22 108183.22 4.877 1.20e-06 ***
AREA_SQM 12777.52 367.48 34.771 < 2e-16 ***
AGE -24687.74 2754.84 -8.962 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CBD -77131.32 5763.12 -13.384 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CHILDCARE -318472.75 107959.51 -2.950 0.003231 **
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 185575.62 39901.86 4.651 3.61e-06 ***
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 39163.25 11754.83 3.332 0.000885 ***
PROX_MRT -294745.11 56916.37 -5.179 2.56e-07 ***
PROX_PARK 570504.81 65507.03 8.709 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 159856.14 60234.60 2.654 0.008046 **
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -220947.25 36561.83 -6.043 1.93e-09 ***
PROX_BUS_STOP 682482.22 134513.24 5.074 4.42e-07 ***
NO_Of_UNITS -245.48 87.95 -2.791 0.005321 **
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 146307.58 46893.02 3.120 0.001845 **
FREEHOLD 350599.81 48506.48 7.228 7.98e-13 ***
---Significance stars
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 756000 on 1421 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.6507
Adjusted R-squared: 0.6472
F-statistic: 189.1 on 14 and 1421 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
***Extra Diagnostic information
Residual sum of squares: 8.120609e+14
Sigma(hat): 752522.9
AIC: 42966.76
AICc: 42967.14
BIC: 41731.39
***********************************************************************
* Results of Geographically Weighted Regression *
***********************************************************************
*********************Model calibration information*********************
Kernel function: gaussian
Fixed bandwidth: 971.3405
Regression points: the same locations as observations are used.
Distance metric: Euclidean distance metric is used.
****************Summary of GWR coefficient estimates:******************
Min. 1st Qu. Median 3rd Qu.
Intercept -3.5988e+07 -5.1998e+05 7.6780e+05 1.7412e+06
AREA_SQM 1.0003e+03 5.2758e+03 7.4740e+03 1.2301e+04
AGE -1.3475e+05 -2.0813e+04 -8.6260e+03 -3.7784e+03
PROX_CBD -7.7047e+07 -2.3608e+05 -8.3600e+04 3.4646e+04
PROX_CHILDCARE -6.0097e+06 -3.3667e+05 -9.7425e+04 2.9007e+05
PROX_ELDERLYCARE -3.5000e+06 -1.5970e+05 3.1971e+04 1.9577e+05
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA -3.0170e+06 -8.2013e+04 7.0749e+04 2.2612e+05
PROX_MRT -3.5282e+06 -6.5836e+05 -1.8833e+05 3.6922e+04
PROX_PARK -1.2062e+06 -2.1732e+05 3.5383e+04 4.1335e+05
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH -2.2695e+07 -1.7066e+05 4.8472e+04 5.1555e+05
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -7.2585e+06 -1.6684e+05 -1.0517e+04 1.5923e+05
PROX_BUS_STOP -1.4676e+06 -4.5207e+04 3.7601e+05 1.1664e+06
NO_Of_UNITS -1.3170e+03 -2.4822e+02 -3.0846e+01 2.5496e+02
FAMILY_FRIENDLY -2.2749e+06 -1.1140e+05 7.6214e+03 1.6107e+05
FREEHOLD -9.2067e+06 3.8073e+04 1.5169e+05 3.7528e+05
Max.
Intercept 112793548
AREA_SQM 21575
AGE 434201
PROX_CBD 2704596
PROX_CHILDCARE 1654087
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 38867814
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 78515730
PROX_MRT 3124316
PROX_PARK 18122425
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 4637503
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL 1529952
PROX_BUS_STOP 11342182
NO_Of_UNITS 12907
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 1720744
FREEHOLD 6073636
************************Diagnostic information*************************
Number of data points: 1436
Effective number of parameters (2trace(S) - trace(S'S)): 438.3804
Effective degrees of freedom (n-2trace(S) + trace(S'S)): 997.6196
AICc (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002, p. 61, eq 2.33): 42263.61
AIC (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002,GWR p. 96, eq. 4.22): 41632.36
BIC (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002,GWR p. 61, eq. 2.34): 42515.71
Residual sum of squares: 2.53407e+14
R-square value: 0.8909912
Adjusted R-square value: 0.8430417
***********************************************************************
Program stops at: 2024-10-23 17:53:43.547159 This gives us the AICc of the GWR to be 42263.36, which is significantly smaller than the global multiple linear regression model.
Adaptive Bandwidth
We can repeat the same steps, but setting adaptive to TRUE.
bw.adaptive = bw.gwr(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH +
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS +
FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sp,
approach = "CV",
kernel = "gaussian",
adaptive = TRUE,
longlat = FALSE)Adaptive bandwidth: 895 CV score: 7.952401e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 561 CV score: 7.667364e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 354 CV score: 6.953454e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 226 CV score: 6.15223e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 147 CV score: 5.674373e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 98 CV score: 5.426745e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 68 CV score: 5.168117e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 49 CV score: 4.859631e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 37 CV score: 4.646518e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 30 CV score: 4.422088e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 25 CV score: 4.430816e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 32 CV score: 4.505602e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 27 CV score: 4.462172e+14
Adaptive bandwidth: 30 CV score: 4.422088e+14 This shows us the adaptive bandwidth recommended is 30. We can use this in our gwr modelling.
gwr.adaptive = gwr.basic(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE +
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA + PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK +
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL + PROX_BUS_STOP +
NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sp,
bw = bw.adaptive,
kernel = 'gaussian',
adaptive = TRUE,
longlat = FALSE)
gwr.adaptive ***********************************************************************
* Package GWmodel *
***********************************************************************
Program starts at: 2024-10-23 17:53:48.744855
Call:
gwr.basic(formula = SELLING_PRICE ~ AREA_SQM + AGE + PROX_CBD +
PROX_CHILDCARE + PROX_ELDERLYCARE + PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA +
PROX_MRT + PROX_PARK + PROX_PRIMARY_SCH + PROX_SHOPPING_MALL +
PROX_BUS_STOP + NO_Of_UNITS + FAMILY_FRIENDLY + FREEHOLD,
data = condo_resale.sp, bw = bw.adaptive, kernel = "gaussian",
adaptive = TRUE, longlat = FALSE)
Dependent (y) variable: SELLING_PRICE
Independent variables: AREA_SQM AGE PROX_CBD PROX_CHILDCARE PROX_ELDERLYCARE PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA PROX_MRT PROX_PARK PROX_PRIMARY_SCH PROX_SHOPPING_MALL PROX_BUS_STOP NO_Of_UNITS FAMILY_FRIENDLY FREEHOLD
Number of data points: 1436
***********************************************************************
* Results of Global Regression *
***********************************************************************
Call:
lm(formula = formula, data = data)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-3470778 -298119 -23481 248917 12234210
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 527633.22 108183.22 4.877 1.20e-06 ***
AREA_SQM 12777.52 367.48 34.771 < 2e-16 ***
AGE -24687.74 2754.84 -8.962 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CBD -77131.32 5763.12 -13.384 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_CHILDCARE -318472.75 107959.51 -2.950 0.003231 **
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 185575.62 39901.86 4.651 3.61e-06 ***
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 39163.25 11754.83 3.332 0.000885 ***
PROX_MRT -294745.11 56916.37 -5.179 2.56e-07 ***
PROX_PARK 570504.81 65507.03 8.709 < 2e-16 ***
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 159856.14 60234.60 2.654 0.008046 **
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -220947.25 36561.83 -6.043 1.93e-09 ***
PROX_BUS_STOP 682482.22 134513.24 5.074 4.42e-07 ***
NO_Of_UNITS -245.48 87.95 -2.791 0.005321 **
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 146307.58 46893.02 3.120 0.001845 **
FREEHOLD 350599.81 48506.48 7.228 7.98e-13 ***
---Significance stars
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 756000 on 1421 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.6507
Adjusted R-squared: 0.6472
F-statistic: 189.1 on 14 and 1421 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
***Extra Diagnostic information
Residual sum of squares: 8.120609e+14
Sigma(hat): 752522.9
AIC: 42966.76
AICc: 42967.14
BIC: 41731.39
***********************************************************************
* Results of Geographically Weighted Regression *
***********************************************************************
*********************Model calibration information*********************
Kernel function: gaussian
Adaptive bandwidth: 30 (number of nearest neighbours)
Regression points: the same locations as observations are used.
Distance metric: Euclidean distance metric is used.
****************Summary of GWR coefficient estimates:******************
Min. 1st Qu. Median 3rd Qu.
Intercept -1.3487e+08 -2.4669e+05 7.7928e+05 1.6194e+06
AREA_SQM 3.3188e+03 5.6285e+03 7.7825e+03 1.2738e+04
AGE -9.6746e+04 -2.9288e+04 -1.4043e+04 -5.6119e+03
PROX_CBD -2.5330e+06 -1.6256e+05 -7.7242e+04 2.6624e+03
PROX_CHILDCARE -1.2790e+06 -2.0175e+05 8.7158e+03 3.7778e+05
PROX_ELDERLYCARE -1.6212e+06 -9.2050e+04 6.1029e+04 2.8184e+05
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA -7.2686e+06 -3.0350e+04 4.5869e+04 2.4613e+05
PROX_MRT -4.3781e+07 -6.7282e+05 -2.2115e+05 -7.4593e+04
PROX_PARK -2.9020e+06 -1.6782e+05 1.1601e+05 4.6572e+05
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH -8.6418e+05 -1.6627e+05 -7.7853e+03 4.3222e+05
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL -1.8272e+06 -1.3175e+05 -1.4049e+04 1.3799e+05
PROX_BUS_STOP -2.0579e+06 -7.1461e+04 4.1104e+05 1.2071e+06
NO_Of_UNITS -2.1993e+03 -2.3685e+02 -3.4699e+01 1.1657e+02
FAMILY_FRIENDLY -5.9879e+05 -5.0927e+04 2.6173e+04 2.2481e+05
FREEHOLD -1.6340e+05 4.0765e+04 1.9023e+05 3.7960e+05
Max.
Intercept 18758355
AREA_SQM 23064
AGE 13303
PROX_CBD 11346650
PROX_CHILDCARE 2892127
PROX_ELDERLYCARE 2465671
PROX_URA_GROWTH_AREA 7384059
PROX_MRT 1186242
PROX_PARK 2588497
PROX_PRIMARY_SCH 3381462
PROX_SHOPPING_MALL 38038564
PROX_BUS_STOP 12081592
NO_Of_UNITS 1010
FAMILY_FRIENDLY 2072414
FREEHOLD 1813995
************************Diagnostic information*************************
Number of data points: 1436
Effective number of parameters (2trace(S) - trace(S'S)): 350.3088
Effective degrees of freedom (n-2trace(S) + trace(S'S)): 1085.691
AICc (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002, p. 61, eq 2.33): 41982.22
AIC (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002,GWR p. 96, eq. 4.22): 41546.74
BIC (GWR book, Fotheringham, et al. 2002,GWR p. 61, eq. 2.34): 41914.08
Residual sum of squares: 2.528227e+14
R-square value: 0.8912425
Adjusted R-square value: 0.8561185
***********************************************************************
Program stops at: 2024-10-23 17:53:49.47239 This gives us the AICc of the GWR to be 41982.22, which is even smaller than the fixed bandwidth.
Output
In addition to regression residuals, the output feature class table includes fields for observed and predicted y values, condition number (cond), Local R2, residuals, and explanatory variable coefficients and standard errors:
Condition Number: this diagnostic evaluates local collinearity. In the presence of strong local collinearity, results become unstable. Results associated with condition numbers larger than 30, may be unreliable.
Local R2: these values range between 0.0 and 1.0 and indicate how well the local regression model fits observed y values. Very low values indicate the local model is performing poorly. Mapping the Local R2 values to see where GWR predicts well and where it predicts poorly may provide clues about important variables that may be missing from the regression model.
Predicted: these are the estimated (or fitted) y values 3. computed by GWR.
Residuals: to obtain the residual values, the fitted y values are subtracted from the observed y values. Standardized residuals have a mean of zero and a standard deviation of 1. A cold-to-hot rendered map of standardized residuals can be produce by using these values.
Coefficient Standard Error: these values measure the reliability of each coefficient estimate. Confidence in those estimates are higher when standard errors are small in relation to the actual coefficient values. Large standard errors may indicate problems with local collinearity.
They are all stored in a SpatialPointsDataFrame or SpatialPolygonsDataFrame object integrated with fit.points, GWR coefficient estimates, y value, predicted values, coefficient standard errors and t-values in its “data” slot in an object called SDF of the output list.
We can visualise this output by converting the SDF into a sf data.frame and plotting it using tmap().
condo_resale.sf.adaptive = st_as_sf(gwr.adaptive$SDF) %>%
st_transform(crs = 3414)tmap_mode("view")tmap mode set to interactive viewingVisualising local R2
tm_shape(mpsz_svy21) +
tmap_options(check.and.fix = TRUE) +
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.5) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) +
tm_dots(col = "Local_R2",
border.col = "gray60",
border.lwd = 1) +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_validVisualising coefficient estimates
AREA_SQM_SE = tm_shape(mpsz_svy21) +
tmap_options(check.and.fix = TRUE) +
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.5) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) +
tm_dots(col = "AREA_SQM_SE",
border.col = "gray60",
border.lwd = 1) +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))
AREA_SQM_TV = tm_shape(mpsz_svy21) +
tmap_options(check.and.fix = TRUE) +
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.5) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) +
tm_dots(col = "AREA_SQM_TV",
border.col = "gray60",
border.lwd = 1) +
tm_view(set.zoom.limits = c(11,14))
tmap_arrange(AREA_SQM_SE, AREA_SQM_TV, ncol = 2, sync = TRUE)Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_valid
Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21 is invalid (after reprojection). See
sf::st_is_validtmap_mode("plot")tmap mode set to plottingVisualising URA Planning Region
tm_shape(mpsz_svy21[mpsz_svy21$REGION_N=="CENTRAL REGION",]) +
tm_polygons(alpha = 0.5) +
tm_shape(condo_resale.sf.adaptive) +
tm_bubbles(col = "Local_R2",
size = 0.2,
border.col = "gray60",
border.lwd = 1)Warning: The shape mpsz_svy21[mpsz_svy21$REGION_N == "CENTRAL REGION", ] is
invalid. See sf::st_is_valid